Transformer inrush has been studied intensely over the decades - as it is a major issue for large 3ph power transformers and protection circuit design. If you google there are many many detailed references, most with an introduction or summary that goes to the matter, without having to wade through all the modelling and tests and paper reviews that fill out such papers.
So yes, core saturation is the main cause, with residual flux, application voltage and a variety of static and dynamic impedances within the transformer determining the actual current waveforms observed.
A number of forums threads have broached the subject. Simple testing of single events provides examples of the responses to be expected for a particular transformer and test scheme. But you'd have to be lucky to observe a worst-case peak current level, as there are many variables that influence the response.
So yes, core saturation is the main cause, with residual flux, application voltage and a variety of static and dynamic impedances within the transformer determining the actual current waveforms observed.
A number of forums threads have broached the subject. Simple testing of single events provides examples of the responses to be expected for a particular transformer and test scheme. But you'd have to be lucky to observe a worst-case peak current level, as there are many variables that influence the response.
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